Suppose we have loads of historical trading data with all the important features associated to it. How do we start to design a model to predict better trading decisions (excluding market sentiments, just by previous 50 years data)?

This is an extremely difficult problem. Decades of attempts have shown that past performance isn’t predictive of future performance, because the training data doesn’t provide any information about future unforeseen events.

@TMosh - Thanks, that makes sense! But is it possible to identify different patterns(generally indicated by graphs by traders) from the historical data? Or maybe in some way helps in decision making process?

There’s lots you can do with making plots of historical behavior. They’re just not very useful for predictions. There is another thread that discusses this topic, I’ll post a link if I can find it.

Here it is, in the AI Projects area: [image] Predicting stock or foreign exchange prices with ML models AI Projects Hi all, I’ve been working on developing models that take historical data and use ML models to predict the future direction (up/down) for these prices. Belo…

Thanks @TMosh ! @Blaze , let me know if you want to discuss this. @TMosh is correct that this is very difficult to do. Just as a counterpoint to TMosh’s point, I know it’s possible because I actually had a bot that did very well at predicting the movements of crypto currency for awhile. We had a b…

[image] David_Park: We had a bot that earned around $300K/month on a portfolio of $1.5m by making one leveraged bet each day on the direction of BTC and winning each day’s bet. That’s relatively easy in a rising market. [image] David_Park: It did this for about 3 months before getting li…

[image] Trading data model architecture AI Discussions That’s relatively easy in a rising market. This is not an uncommon outcome. Actually, it was in a declining market because it happened during the summer of 2022. And the majority of the bets were short bets but …

@TMosh , here’s one question. How do you quote only part of a comment in your replies? Thanks!

Click and drag to highlight, then release and you get a popup that has a “Quote” tool. It automatically pastes the copied text into whatever message box you have open.

Disregard of accuracy of trade model, can someone please give directions into what ML architecture to use to start with?

Trading data model architecture

AI Discussions

TMosh January 18, 2024, 7:32pm 5

Here it is, in the AI Projects area:

Topic		Replies	Views
Predicting stock or foreign exchange prices with ML models AI Discussions project	38	5057	July 8, 2025
AI for stock market charts pattern recognition AI Discussions ai-discussions , project	42	3360	January 23, 2025
New to ML and looking to build a model for financial market speculation and prediction AI Discussions introductions , project	5	291	June 10, 2024
AI Price Prediction Oracle for Stock and Web3 AI Discussions forecasting , project	3	460	January 8, 2024
Cryptocurrency price prediction AI Discussions ai-discussions , project	5	257	September 29, 2025

Trading data model architecture

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